Have The European People Finally Lost Their Belief In The EU

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It was usually acknowledged that in the past so called euro scepticism or anti euro sentiments where confined just to the shores of the UK, but the collapse of the Greek economy along with Cyprus. Spain and Italy’s economies are now in a downward tailspin, with Portugal and Ireland just about keeping their heads above the waterline. People are asking were is this euro dream that Barroso and Van Rompuy keep preaching about when people have lost their jobs and their income. The Brussels elite keep talking about “populism” like its a dirty word, little realising, or wanting to listen to the real voice of the people.

The tide as turned against the ruling Brussels eurocrats, and worst still the EU Commission is running around trying to come up with new and fresh idea’s. But business as usual will not work this time around, just churning out more EU rules and regulations will not cut it any longer with people’s growing impatience. The EU summits, the smiling photo ops of gathered politicians is becoming a well worn spectacle that people are beginning to see through now.

Everyone speaks of growth, but where is that growth to be found. Northern Europe as growth of sorts though not strong growth, even the mighty Germany’s growth is weakening. Southern Europe remains the real big problem, the elephant in the room that no one really wants to tackle. The Trokia of the IMF, ECB, and Brussels waves the big stick demanding reforms to the bloated over staffed public sectors of Italy, Spain, Greece, and Portugal, but these reforms drag on and are resisted every step of the way by southern European economies. Decades of deeply embedded political croynism and corruption are difficult to remove quickly.

People are asking deep questions about the whole eurozone dream, is the euro really worth all this pain. Different countries economies grow at different speeds. Can northern eurozone countries keep on bailing out southern eurozone countries indefinitely  Northern eurozone economies like Germany’s growing resentment to giving their hard earned cash to struggling southern eurozone economies. Southern eurozone economies resentment at having their economies controlled and dictated to by the north of Europe, and the IMF, ECB and Brussels. This is a powder keg just waiting to explode, mean while back in the Brussels Bubble they will be holding yet another summit, another meeting, another crisis?

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Weak growth means weak tax revenues, eurozone growth is needed like a viagria pill to get the wheels of the eurozone economy turning again; but the eurozone still as a long lasting addiction to red tape and over burdening regulations which Brussels, EU Commission and MEPs in the European Parliament seem to enjoy churning out. Will the worlds future growing economies be in Asia, as Asia is expanding while Europe is contracting. The eurozone needs to redefine it’s self and re-invigorate real economic growth ASAP, but can it change and evolve that rapidly in a global world to create growth and jobs?

Merkel and the Germans want more economic growth for the eurozone, but Merkel knows this means less regulation and freeing up enterprise and innovation, something the EU is not that good at doing. Particularly Hollande will oppose any much moves to a more leaner and efficient eurozone, as the French have a very large public sector. In many ways this problem lies at the heart of Europe’s economic problems, big state sector verses private sector. In many Eurozone countries getting a job in the public sector is looked upon as a job for life, with early retirement, and a secure state pension. Problem is the maths just do not add up, as the state as to pay more towards the pensions and wages of the state sector empolyee’s through the countries tax revenues, so an economic imbalance grows, and so a ever widening spending deficit is created. Most European countries are struggling to get any where near the EU target of 3%.

In the past the EU’s cherished projects was to build new motorways and airports in countries such as Spain and Greece, only now people realise many of those airports are under used with very low passengers numbers, just look at the new Beja airport in Portugal, only offers one single passenger flight per week. Economic growth cannot be created just by big spending projects, building new motorways that don’t really go any where, its a false economy. Cutting the red tape and encouraging people to start up their own small businesses is where the EU should focus its energy, but at the moment thats easier said than done with many economies in the doldrums and eurozone banks very reluctant and refuse to lend money, it all becomes a downward economic cycle.

With the growth of social media, people are voicing their opinions much more loudly, just look at the recent national Italian elections and the powerful use of twitter and facebook to galvanise public feelings and opinion in Italy, as the Italians have had enough of the many decades of the same old corrupt political system with in Italy.

Brussels also as been for far too long closed and tightly controlled, distant from peoples normal life’s. Its EU institutions have lost all relevance to its citizens and voters, just look at the fiasco of the Brussels to Strasbourg MEPs travelling circus and the waste in public money this spectacle causes. Three unelected EU presidents, and I have a hard time remembering the 3rd one. Most official EU websites are designed to bore there reader’s into a deep sleep or a coma.The EU needs to change and quickly, but can it really change and relate and connect to peoples real daily life’s  EU voter apathy is like a stone falling off a cliff. Its time to wake up Brussels and start listening to what the people really want, or you may find yourself thrown out of office and your cherished EU institutions closed down permanently?

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Beja Airport Shabby Claim of a 495% Passenger Increase?

Beja airport located in Alentejo, Portugal, owned by ANA boasts an increase of passenger traffic through the airport of 495% over the last year. Its sounds very impressive when you read it like that, but in fact is a paltry slither of an increase from a miniscule 205 passenger foot traffic through the Beja airport last year to 1,221 passenger foot traffic this year. Thats an amazing 102 passengers using the airport every month? Don’t get crushed in the stampede.

There are tiny airports in the Scottish Hebrides with more passenger traffic than these numbers, or small regional airport situated in the middle of the Arctic tundra in Siberia, who are ANA trying to fool? These figures are abysmal?

Beja airport needs to attract more cheap airlines to increase passenger traffic through the airport. How about offering competitive landing charges to help attract more interest from European airlines? One flight per week in hardly going to put Beja on the map with tourists? The quicker ANA airport operators is broken up and sold off, the quicker Beja airport will hopefully begin to thrive.

The Growing Admiration For Germany’s Economic Discipline

While the euro crisis crawls along, we have all become alittle jaded with all the sound bites from leading euro politicans, and economists. The French and Hollande like to portray themselves and France as a fiscally prudent country, equal to the Germans, but I am sure they secretly realise they are not fooling anyone. France is a big player in the eurozone though they have big structural problems with their big state spending culture. Hollande likes to give the impression that Paris is equal to Berlin, with little effect to the eurozone media in their reporting of the whole eurozone crisis.

Its no understatement to say all eye’s are on Merkel and Berlin. If anything Germany as grown in stature and recognition not just within Europe, but all around the world. If the USA want to speak to Europe, its pretty safe to say Berlin will be at the top of the list. Germany as always had the lingering ghost of its history of WW2 to reconcile with, so as always tried not to be put in the driving seat of Europe, instead sharing in a duel partnership with France. Now the eurozone crisis as changed all that, Merkel is now firmly in the eurozone driving seat.

The growing north – south split in eurozone economic power is there for all to see. Germany actually makes quality products that people want to buy from all around the world. Merkel receives special status when she visits China when it comes to trade discussions. The Chinese cannot get enough of Germans products. There is a growing, almost admiration in the UK how the Germans have achieved this economic miracle, while most of southern Europe is sinking in an economic quagmire of stagnation. Maybe instead of the rest of the eurozone complaining about the German model of economic enterprise we should all be trying to copy and emulate the German model, as it is clearly a successful model to follow.

 

Its fairly common knowledge there is much euro scepticism in the UK, and growing, but the Germans realise one thing in common with the UK, the eurozone model of big Brussels regulation and control is a dysfunctional model that actually constricts and holds back European enterprise and success. Merkel is trying to promote more free enterprise within the eurozone to create more jobs, and the UK’s anti protectionist leanings in trade is something Merkel knows Europe needs more of, not less. Excessive EU regulation is a ball and chain on all European companies, both large and small, just examine how employers cannot sack fixed contract employee’s, and are just stuck with them indefinitely. Merkel understands this, the eurozone needs less rigid regulation, not more, to let companies flourish and prosper, and in return new jobs will be created. This is a simple fact many Brussels technocrats find hard to grasp.

According to the latest statistics Mars has more traffic than Beja Airport?

Found this amusing post on Facebook, it may be amusing, but it is also factually accurate! Mars as more traffic than Beja airport in Alentejo,Portugal! 

Beja Airport – The Analysis Paralysis Infection?

So the sad saga of Beja airport, the construction cost of 33€ million, and the analysis paralysis continues, only one passenger flight fly’s to Beja airport from Heathrow per week? One security guard guards an empty airport, believe me I have been there and seen it. The good news is ANA airport operators are to be privatised later this year, ( http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/30/portugal-privatisations-idUSL6E8JUFRI20120830 ) along with the TAP airlines. Lack of any real competition within Portugal airport operators is a major problem in Portugal as monopolies take root and grow and become too dominant. I imagine these changes are being forced through by the so called ‘trokia’ ECB, IMF, and Brussels to force more open competition within Portugal’s air travel industry. Long over due changes.

The analysis paralysis for the airport as become so bogged down and complex with yet more meetings, conferences, and ‘lets set up another task force’ etc, that people in charge are now so afraid to make actual clear simple decisions. The infection of the ‘analysis paralysis’ as taken deep roots in the management of Beja airport, hopefully when ANA is privatised later this year? some big structural changes will shake up the management of Beja airport, and commercial forces will come to bear on the airport, as then the government will turn off the cash taps; then Beja airport will be forced to operate as a normal regional passenger airport ASAP?

OK so Easyjet and Ryanair have presently shown little interest in Beja airport, though that may change in the future, but there are more than just two airlines in the world, how about alittle more motivation and drive by ANA to try and attract other possible airlines to operate flights to Beja. Please lets get away from the endless powerpoint presentations and pie charts and maybe just pick up the phone and talk to as many airline operators as possible. Beja airport is a small regional airport for Alentejo and it as to bang the drum to attract airlines, it as no special status etc. ANA have to stop talking, and start doing?

Meetings, analysis, and task forces; the Americans call this ‘analysis paralysis’. There is a time for reasonable analysis and then there is a time to get out of the conference room and actually do something real and constructive. Part of the major problem is Beja airport is mired in so much ‘analysis paralysis’ and now everyone is afraid to make any clear decisive decisions, just more conferences, and meetings, that produce very little in terms of concrete results.

Well paid jobsworths and consultants who have a vested interest in their well paid salaries and high fee’s. Endless powerpoint displays in a conference room are not going to change the fact that Beja airport as been badly managed, with a history of waste and incompetence, and surprise, surprise no one is held accountable. Lets hope with the government turning off the cash taps for ANA, Beja airport will be forced to function as a normal regional passenger airport, with real planes, real passengers and offer actual flights?

There are many more comments to read on ‘Our Airports’ link below - http://www.ourairports.com/airports/LPBJ/comments.html

The Growing North – South Split in the Eurozone

The southern eurozone countries seem to want to blame all the economic ills on Germany and northern eurozone economies, the ECB and IMF in response for their strict austerity reforms. Yes the eurozone is largely in recession, as is most of the world economy, but southern European countries have been playing a clever game since joining the euro since joining at its birth. Basically promising Brussels domestic structural and public sector reforms, but in essence doing very little to change their old habits and open up there restricted domestic markets to real competition.

Everyone got away with this clever ruse of foot dragging and excuses, but now the music as stopped in a game of musical chairs and there is no where to sit. Budgets, national accounts are being scrutinized by the so called ‘trokia’, no more imaginative Greek accounting, making the numbers look rosy when in fact they are bleak. The question is why as southern European countries fallen so far behind northern countries in terms of real GDP growth? The simple truth is northern eurozone economies are much more open minded in their approach to open markets, while southern eurozone countries are much more protectionist in their domestic markets. Example, Portugal still as one dominant electric company in its energy market called EDP, while for years telling Brussels it will allow more competition in its energy market, but doing very little to change its favoured old state run dinosaur. This is the same story in the telecoms, banking, and energy markets right across southern Europe from Lisbon to Athens, and this is the reason why now lack of any real growth is coming home to roost for Italy, Portugal, Greece, and Spain. Spain only grew through a hyper hot property boom, not real liberalization of there economy.

Instead of southern economies blaming Germany for all their economic ills, southern eurozone countries have to embrace real economic reforms. Pharmacists still blocking the sale of headache tablets in supermarkets, why because they can charge 6X’s as much. Taxi drivers and lawyers blocking reforms to the cosy high prices and all in the name of protecting their professions? The long list goes on and on, but the biggest problem is in bloated public sector, being over staffed, and an ever shrinking private sector, a recipe for contraction and no growth for any one to see, not just economists.

We live in an age of information technology, but try walking into a local government office in Italy, or Portugal and asking if you can access or apply online for anything, and you will receive a puzzled confused expression; their obsession with form filling and red tape is almost a national sport, and takes immense stamina of patience.
I think the best solution would be a so called ‘hard’ northern euro currency, and a ‘soft’ southern euro to solve the euro crisis, though this would be politically high risk. If the eurozone does not grow it will stagnate and contract compared to Asia and the USA, its that simple.

France – Liberty, Fraternity, Bankruptcy?

Government spending

Government spending (Photo credit: 401K)

 

 

As everyone is now focusing on the French Presidential elections between Sarkozy and Hollande as the main contenders, the eurozone awaits the out come. No doubt Merkel and Berlin are concerned as Hollande as made no secret of his plans to reverse any French austerity measures to France’s economy. As a socialist his economic philosophy is simple, the state spends its way out of slow growth and a sickly economy. I think there will certainly be more friction between Paris and Berlin if Hollande wins the election, as both will be travelling in opposite directions on eurozone economic policy.Merkel wants stricter controls on public spending, and inroads into reducing state debt; Hollande wants to increase public spending which will no doubt increase France’s state debt which as already one of Europe’s biggest debt ratio’s to national GDP.

Sarkozy as had a topsy turvy kind of economic policy. When he 1st entered office he embraced certain opening up of France’s protected markets, and seemed alittle more pro free enterprise, telling the French they had to work harder and retire later. That all changed after the banking crisis with Sarkozy doing a Houdini U turn and recoiling back into French protectionist values, preaching against the free market ‘Anglo Saxon’ model of trade. As the Americans say he did a complete ‘flip-flop’.

Who ever is elected France as serve structural problems. Just by employing ever more teachers and civil servants will not solve France’s economic problems. State spending in France is one of the highest in Europe, and just doing the old habit of increasing taxes will not cut it any more. Merkel knows this well as the tensions between the two dominant EU countries are bound to  increase due to two very different economic views. I am sure the southern eurozone countries in the Mediterranean, such as Greece are secretly hoping for a Hollande election victory to reverse the hard austerity programmes being enforced by Berlin and the ECB.

The French philosophy of controlling a state command economy is not only redundant, but bankrupt. France, just like the rest of the eurozone cannot spend their way out of Europe’s deep structural economic problems. Big public sectors have to be brought under control, and reformed. Less rigid employment regulation to hire and fire employee’s, also reforming of public sector pensions as to be addressed. Not pleasant medicine to swallow, but all the same as to be tacked if the eurozone is to really grow and openly compete with the USA and Asia in the years to come.